Recent polling in May 2026 shows the Labour Party maintaining its position as the single largest party, with support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of the National Party which has remained in the high 20s to low 30s. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Labour under the mixed-member proportional system ahead of the November 7 election. The National-led coalition government continues to hold competitive projected seat totals in some aggregates due to support for its minor partners, yet recent trends reflect Labour gains on key issues including the economy. With five months until election day and no major shifts from official announcements or legislative actions, the current implied probabilities reflect sustained polling momentum for Labour as the leading outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 65%
National Party 38%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
42%
Labour Party
62%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 65%
National Party 38%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
$1,151 交易量
42%
Labour Party
$1,217 交易量
62%
Green Party
$431 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$438 交易量
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$418 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$413 交易量
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling in May 2026 shows the Labour Party maintaining its position as the single largest party, with support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of the National Party which has remained in the high 20s to low 30s. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Labour under the mixed-member proportional system ahead of the November 7 election. The National-led coalition government continues to hold competitive projected seat totals in some aggregates due to support for its minor partners, yet recent trends reflect Labour gains on key issues including the economy. With five months until election day and no major shifts from official announcements or legislative actions, the current implied probabilities reflect sustained polling momentum for Labour as the leading outcome.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$4,067结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling in May 2026 shows the Labour Party maintaining its position as the single largest party, with support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of the National Party which has remained in the high 20s to low 30s. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Labour under the mixed-member proportional system ahead of the November 7 election. The National-led coalition government continues to hold competitive projected seat totals in some aggregates due to support for its minor partners, yet recent trends reflect Labour gains on key issues including the economy. With five months until election day and no major shifts from official announcements or legislative actions, the current implied probabilities reflect sustained polling momentum for Labour as the leading outcome.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$4,067结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in May 2026 shows the Labour Party maintaining its position as the single largest party, with support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of the National Party which has remained in the high 20s to low 30s. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Labour under the mixed-member proportional system ahead of the November 7 election. The National-led coalition government continues to hold competitive projected seat totals in some aggregates due to support for its minor partners, yet recent trends reflect Labour gains on key issues including the economy. With five months until election day and no major shifts from official announcements or legislative actions, the current implied probabilities reflect sustained polling momentum for Labour as the leading outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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