Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show Labour as the largest single party, with support in the mid-30s percent range ahead of National in the high 20s to low 30s. This has strengthened trader consensus around Labour forming the next government under the mixed-member proportional system. National’s coalition partners remain key variables, as their combined totals with ACT and New Zealand First have frequently projected a narrow parliamentary majority in recent surveys. Economic conditions, government approval trends, and preferred prime minister ratings continue to influence bloc positioning five months before advance voting begins. Minor parties hold low implied probabilities consistent with historical seat thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 65%
National Party 38%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
42%
Labour Party
64%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 65%
National Party 38%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
$1,151 交易量
42%
Labour Party
$1,217 交易量
64%
Green Party
$431 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$438 交易量
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$418 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$413 交易量
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show Labour as the largest single party, with support in the mid-30s percent range ahead of National in the high 20s to low 30s. This has strengthened trader consensus around Labour forming the next government under the mixed-member proportional system. National’s coalition partners remain key variables, as their combined totals with ACT and New Zealand First have frequently projected a narrow parliamentary majority in recent surveys. Economic conditions, government approval trends, and preferred prime minister ratings continue to influence bloc positioning five months before advance voting begins. Minor parties hold low implied probabilities consistent with historical seat thresholds.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$4,067结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show Labour as the largest single party, with support in the mid-30s percent range ahead of National in the high 20s to low 30s. This has strengthened trader consensus around Labour forming the next government under the mixed-member proportional system. National’s coalition partners remain key variables, as their combined totals with ACT and New Zealand First have frequently projected a narrow parliamentary majority in recent surveys. Economic conditions, government approval trends, and preferred prime minister ratings continue to influence bloc positioning five months before advance voting begins. Minor parties hold low implied probabilities consistent with historical seat thresholds.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$4,067结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show Labour as the largest single party, with support in the mid-30s percent range ahead of National in the high 20s to low 30s. This has strengthened trader consensus around Labour forming the next government under the mixed-member proportional system. National’s coalition partners remain key variables, as their combined totals with ACT and New Zealand First have frequently projected a narrow parliamentary majority in recent surveys. Economic conditions, government approval trends, and preferred prime minister ratings continue to influence bloc positioning five months before advance voting begins. Minor parties hold low implied probabilities consistent with historical seat thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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