Recent polling ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats maintaining a consistent lead over the Moderates and their allies, placing party leader Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner to form the next government. Incumbent Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's centre-right coalition has faced sustained pressure from voter shifts favoring the opposition bloc, reinforced by April 2026 discussions on expanding Sweden Democrat influence in a potential majority government. These dynamics, reflected in the trader consensus pricing Andersson well ahead of Kristersson and smaller-party leaders, align with broader patterns where the largest opposition party typically benefits when incumbents trail in pre-election surveys. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛格达莱娜·安德松 72%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 26%
吉米·奥克松 3.0%
埃巴·布什 <1%
$2,037,966 交易量
$2,037,966 交易量

玛格达莱娜·安德松
72%

乌尔夫·克里斯特松
26%

吉米·奥克松
3%

埃巴·布什
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%

阿曼达·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%

伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
玛格达莱娜·安德松 72%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 26%
吉米·奥克松 3.0%
埃巴·布什 <1%
$2,037,966 交易量
$2,037,966 交易量

玛格达莱娜·安德松
72%

乌尔夫·克里斯特松
26%

吉米·奥克松
3%

埃巴·布什
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%

阿曼达·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%

伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats maintaining a consistent lead over the Moderates and their allies, placing party leader Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner to form the next government. Incumbent Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's centre-right coalition has faced sustained pressure from voter shifts favoring the opposition bloc, reinforced by April 2026 discussions on expanding Sweden Democrat influence in a potential majority government. These dynamics, reflected in the trader consensus pricing Andersson well ahead of Kristersson and smaller-party leaders, align with broader patterns where the largest opposition party typically benefits when incumbents trail in pre-election surveys. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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