Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two to four National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026 by-elections because thirteen of the fourteen contested districts were previously held by the ruling Democratic Party, while only one was held by the PPP. The conservative opposition faces headwinds from lingering public reaction to the 2024 martial law episode and ongoing internal party divisions, limiting its ability to flip multiple Democratic seats. The single PPP-held constituency remains its most secure target, with modest gains possible in a handful of competitive districts amid the simultaneous local elections. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of structural incumbency advantages and recent polling trends favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3 41%
2 30%
1 14.9%
4 13.9%
$49,524 交易量
$49,524 交易量
2026-06-03
0
1%
1
15%
2
30%
3
41%
4
17%
5
2%
6+
6%
3 41%
2 30%
1 14.9%
4 13.9%
$49,524 交易量
$49,524 交易量
2026-06-03
0
$5,058 交易量
1%
1
$5,487 交易量
15%
2
$13,565 交易量
30%
3
$8,286 交易量
41%
4
$7,307 交易量
17%
5
$4,089 交易量
2%
6+
$5,732 交易量
6%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two to four National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026 by-elections because thirteen of the fourteen contested districts were previously held by the ruling Democratic Party, while only one was held by the PPP. The conservative opposition faces headwinds from lingering public reaction to the 2024 martial law episode and ongoing internal party divisions, limiting its ability to flip multiple Democratic seats. The single PPP-held constituency remains its most secure target, with modest gains possible in a handful of competitive districts amid the simultaneous local elections. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of structural incumbency advantages and recent polling trends favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the vote.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
交易量
$49,524结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two to four National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026 by-elections because thirteen of the fourteen contested districts were previously held by the ruling Democratic Party, while only one was held by the PPP. The conservative opposition faces headwinds from lingering public reaction to the 2024 martial law episode and ongoing internal party divisions, limiting its ability to flip multiple Democratic seats. The single PPP-held constituency remains its most secure target, with modest gains possible in a handful of competitive districts amid the simultaneous local elections. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of structural incumbency advantages and recent polling trends favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the vote.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
交易量
$49,524结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two to four National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026 by-elections because thirteen of the fourteen contested districts were previously held by the ruling Democratic Party, while only one was held by the PPP. The conservative opposition faces headwinds from lingering public reaction to the 2024 martial law episode and ongoing internal party divisions, limiting its ability to flip multiple Democratic seats. The single PPP-held constituency remains its most secure target, with modest gains possible in a handful of competitive districts amid the simultaneous local elections. These dynamics reflect trader assessments of structural incumbency advantages and recent polling trends favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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