Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats narrowly ahead of the Moderate Party for second place behind the leading Social Democrats in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with SD typically at 19-20% and Moderates at 17-18%. This closeness sustains the tight market odds, as both parties compete within the same right-leaning bloc amid ongoing coalition negotiations under the Tidö framework. Recent statements from Prime Minister Kristersson signaling openness to expanded Sweden Democrat influence in a potential majority government have reinforced SD's positioning, while campaign focus on immigration, integration, and economic issues continues to shape voter shifts between the two contenders. Late polling movements or coalition realignments could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Sweden Democrats (SD) 72%
Liberals (L) 31.9%
Left Party (V) 28.6%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 27%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
27%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
50%

Moderate Party (M)
45%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
2%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
32%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 72%
Liberals (L) 31.9%
Left Party (V) 28.6%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 27%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
27%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
50%

Moderate Party (M)
45%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
2%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
32%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats narrowly ahead of the Moderate Party for second place behind the leading Social Democrats in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with SD typically at 19-20% and Moderates at 17-18%. This closeness sustains the tight market odds, as both parties compete within the same right-leaning bloc amid ongoing coalition negotiations under the Tidö framework. Recent statements from Prime Minister Kristersson signaling openness to expanded Sweden Democrat influence in a potential majority government have reinforced SD's positioning, while campaign focus on immigration, integration, and economic issues continues to shape voter shifts between the two contenders. Late polling movements or coalition realignments could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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