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United Kingdom predictions & odds

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Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

51%

United States

$934K Vol.

$202K today

$86.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

65%

Andy Burnham

$10M Vol.

$51.7K today

$1M Liq.

105

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

100%

France

$479K Vol.

$52.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

25%

United Kingdom

$338K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

14

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

4%

$2.8K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

41%

$5.2K Vol.

$150 Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

-

$856 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

29%

$26.7K Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

<1%

$4.8K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

10%

$43.6K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

48%

0-1%

$2.1K Vol.

$623 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

47%

0.0–0.1%

$48 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

78%

December 31

$32M Vol.

$268K today

$296K Liq.

1,758

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

77%

$59.3K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 14 days

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

-

$1.6K Vol.

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

35%

Burnham 9%+

$30.6K Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets

-

$25.0K Vol.

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$61 Vol.

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

76%

Robert Kenyon

$152K Vol.

$167K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United Kingdom.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for United Kingdom that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $44.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United Kingdom predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.