Iowa's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds declined to seek a third term. Democratic state auditor Rob Sand secured his party's nomination unopposed, while the Republican primary on June 2 pits U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra against several challengers. Recent general-election polling shows Sand ahead of Feenstra by margins of 8 to 12 points. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Republican. Trader consensus on a Democratic win at 64.5% aligns with these surveys, Sand's statewide visibility as auditor, and reported Democratic gains in recent special legislative elections, though the November 3 general-election outcome remains sensitive to primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,754 交易量
$40,754 交易量

民主党
65%

共和党
30%
$40,754 交易量
$40,754 交易量

民主党
65%

共和党
30%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds declined to seek a third term. Democratic state auditor Rob Sand secured his party's nomination unopposed, while the Republican primary on June 2 pits U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra against several challengers. Recent general-election polling shows Sand ahead of Feenstra by margins of 8 to 12 points. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Republican. Trader consensus on a Democratic win at 64.5% aligns with these surveys, Sand's statewide visibility as auditor, and reported Democratic gains in recent special legislative elections, though the November 3 general-election outcome remains sensitive to primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题