Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for finishing first in today's Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting her established name recognition, institutional support, and record on homelessness reduction and housing production amid ongoing recovery from recent wildfires. A late surge by challenger Nithya Raman and political newcomer Spencer Pratt has tightened polling into a three-way contest, driven by voter frustration over city services and governance, yet Bass's organizational advantages and broad endorsements position her ahead in the nonpartisan primary where the top two advance to a November runoff. Spencer Pratt's visibility from anti-incumbent messaging accounts for his secondary market standing, while remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal polling traction. The June 2 primary timeline and lack of a majority threshold further shape these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Karen Bass 76%
Spencer Pratt 19%
Nithya Raman 7.8%
Rick Caruso <1%
$455,138 交易量
$455,138 交易量
2026-06-02
Karen Bass
76%
Spencer Pratt
19%
Nithya Raman
8%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Asaad Alnajjar
<1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rae Huang
<1%
Adam Miller
<1%
Karen Bass 76%
Spencer Pratt 19%
Nithya Raman 7.8%
Rick Caruso <1%
$455,138 交易量
$455,138 交易量
2026-06-02
Karen Bass
$84,974 交易量
76%
Spencer Pratt
$261,578 交易量
19%
Nithya Raman
$83,989 交易量
8%
Rick Caruso
$2,166 交易量
<1%
Asaad Alnajjar
$3,999 交易量
<1%
Gina Viola
$2,843 交易量
<1%
Austin Beutner
$2,097 交易量
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
$5,968 交易量
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
$2,556 交易量
<1%
Rae Huang
$3,406 交易量
<1%
Adam Miller
$1,562 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for finishing first in today's Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting her established name recognition, institutional support, and record on homelessness reduction and housing production amid ongoing recovery from recent wildfires. A late surge by challenger Nithya Raman and political newcomer Spencer Pratt has tightened polling into a three-way contest, driven by voter frustration over city services and governance, yet Bass's organizational advantages and broad endorsements position her ahead in the nonpartisan primary where the top two advance to a November runoff. Spencer Pratt's visibility from anti-incumbent messaging accounts for his secondary market standing, while remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal polling traction. The June 2 primary timeline and lack of a majority threshold further shape these implied probabilities.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
交易量
$455,138结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for finishing first in today's Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting her established name recognition, institutional support, and record on homelessness reduction and housing production amid ongoing recovery from recent wildfires. A late surge by challenger Nithya Raman and political newcomer Spencer Pratt has tightened polling into a three-way contest, driven by voter frustration over city services and governance, yet Bass's organizational advantages and broad endorsements position her ahead in the nonpartisan primary where the top two advance to a November runoff. Spencer Pratt's visibility from anti-incumbent messaging accounts for his secondary market standing, while remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal polling traction. The June 2 primary timeline and lack of a majority threshold further shape these implied probabilities.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$455,138结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for finishing first in today's Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting her established name recognition, institutional support, and record on homelessness reduction and housing production amid ongoing recovery from recent wildfires. A late surge by challenger Nithya Raman and political newcomer Spencer Pratt has tightened polling into a three-way contest, driven by voter frustration over city services and governance, yet Bass's organizational advantages and broad endorsements position her ahead in the nonpartisan primary where the top two advance to a November runoff. Spencer Pratt's visibility from anti-incumbent messaging accounts for his secondary market standing, while remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal polling traction. The June 2 primary timeline and lack of a majority threshold further shape these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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