Recent polling in Maine's 2026 Senate race shows the Democratic nominee leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by single-digit margins among likely voters, reflecting trader consensus on the seat's competitive but Democratic-leaning dynamics. Janet Mills's withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind Graham Platner ahead of the June 9 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election candidate. Maine's voting patterns in recent presidential contests and the state's partisan balance further shape expectations, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled primary results and any late shifts in candidate positioning remain the main near-term factors that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$370,580 交易量
$370,580 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
65%
共和党
37%
$370,580 交易量
$370,580 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$219,613 交易量
65%
共和党
$150,967 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling in Maine's 2026 Senate race shows the Democratic nominee leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by single-digit margins among likely voters, reflecting trader consensus on the seat's competitive but Democratic-leaning dynamics. Janet Mills's withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind Graham Platner ahead of the June 9 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election candidate. Maine's voting patterns in recent presidential contests and the state's partisan balance further shape expectations, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled primary results and any late shifts in candidate positioning remain the main near-term factors that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$370,580结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling in Maine's 2026 Senate race shows the Democratic nominee leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by single-digit margins among likely voters, reflecting trader consensus on the seat's competitive but Democratic-leaning dynamics. Janet Mills's withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind Graham Platner ahead of the June 9 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election candidate. Maine's voting patterns in recent presidential contests and the state's partisan balance further shape expectations, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled primary results and any late shifts in candidate positioning remain the main near-term factors that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$370,580结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Maine's 2026 Senate race shows the Democratic nominee leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by single-digit margins among likely voters, reflecting trader consensus on the seat's competitive but Democratic-leaning dynamics. Janet Mills's withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind Graham Platner ahead of the June 9 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election candidate. Maine's voting patterns in recent presidential contests and the state's partisan balance further shape expectations, with the race rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled primary results and any late shifts in candidate positioning remain the main near-term factors that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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