Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank territory through record settlement approvals, expanded civil administration authority, and land registration measures adopted by the security cabinet in February 2026, while sidelining formal sovereignty legislation. A symbolic July 2025 Knesset motion supporting application of Israeli law received no follow-through votes, and Prime Minister Netanyahu has deferred explicit annexation amid U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and diplomatic priorities tied to regional normalization and Iran policy. Traders assess these incremental administrative and settlement steps as unlikely to produce an official declaration extending Israeli sovereignty to any West Bank territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, producing the current 89.5% implied probability on “No.”
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$74,271 交易量
$74,271 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$74,271 交易量
$74,271 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank territory through record settlement approvals, expanded civil administration authority, and land registration measures adopted by the security cabinet in February 2026, while sidelining formal sovereignty legislation. A symbolic July 2025 Knesset motion supporting application of Israeli law received no follow-through votes, and Prime Minister Netanyahu has deferred explicit annexation amid U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and diplomatic priorities tied to regional normalization and Iran policy. Traders assess these incremental administrative and settlement steps as unlikely to produce an official declaration extending Israeli sovereignty to any West Bank territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, producing the current 89.5% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$74,271结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank territory through record settlement approvals, expanded civil administration authority, and land registration measures adopted by the security cabinet in February 2026, while sidelining formal sovereignty legislation. A symbolic July 2025 Knesset motion supporting application of Israeli law received no follow-through votes, and Prime Minister Netanyahu has deferred explicit annexation amid U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and diplomatic priorities tied to regional normalization and Iran policy. Traders assess these incremental administrative and settlement steps as unlikely to produce an official declaration extending Israeli sovereignty to any West Bank territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, producing the current 89.5% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$74,271结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank territory through record settlement approvals, expanded civil administration authority, and land registration measures adopted by the security cabinet in February 2026, while sidelining formal sovereignty legislation. A symbolic July 2025 Knesset motion supporting application of Israeli law received no follow-through votes, and Prime Minister Netanyahu has deferred explicit annexation amid U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and diplomatic priorities tied to regional normalization and Iran policy. Traders assess these incremental administrative and settlement steps as unlikely to produce an official declaration extending Israeli sovereignty to any West Bank territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, producing the current 89.5% implied probability on “No.”
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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