Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, consolidating right-wing support behind a single standard-bearer. Recent national polls place him consistently behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva but ahead of other contenders, reflecting the Bolsonarist base’s cohesion ahead of the runoff threshold. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has gained ground through social-media outreach and youth appeal, narrowing the gap in some surveys, while governors such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema draw narrower regional backing. Lula’s lead as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term leaves the identity of the runner-up dependent on how fragmented conservative and centrist votes remain in the final months before official candidacies are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 61%
雷南·桑托斯 19.7%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦 9%
费尔南多·哈达 4.5%
$3,616,761 交易量
$3,616,761 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
61%
雷南·桑托斯
20%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
9%
费尔南多·哈达
4%
Romeu Zema
3%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
2%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
1%
赫拉尔多·阿尔克明
1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
拉蒂尼奥·儒尼奥尔
<1%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
奥尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 61%
雷南·桑托斯 19.7%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦 9%
费尔南多·哈达 4.5%
$3,616,761 交易量
$3,616,761 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$60,845 交易量
61%
雷南·桑托斯
$1,008,389 交易量
20%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$75,391 交易量
9%
费尔南多·哈达
$656,693 交易量
4%
Romeu Zema
$261,082 交易量
3%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$301,404 交易量
2%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$59,672 交易量
1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$83,061 交易量
1%
赫拉尔多·阿尔克明
$126,685 交易量
1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$86,362 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$7,655 交易量
<1%
拉蒂尼奥·儒尼奥尔
$645,441 交易量
<1%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$114,294 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$51,611 交易量
<1%
奥尔多·雷贝洛
$31,193 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$43,045 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$3,942 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, consolidating right-wing support behind a single standard-bearer. Recent national polls place him consistently behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva but ahead of other contenders, reflecting the Bolsonarist base’s cohesion ahead of the runoff threshold. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has gained ground through social-media outreach and youth appeal, narrowing the gap in some surveys, while governors such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema draw narrower regional backing. Lula’s lead as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term leaves the identity of the runner-up dependent on how fragmented conservative and centrist votes remain in the final months before official candidacies are confirmed.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$3,616,761结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, consolidating right-wing support behind a single standard-bearer. Recent national polls place him consistently behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva but ahead of other contenders, reflecting the Bolsonarist base’s cohesion ahead of the runoff threshold. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has gained ground through social-media outreach and youth appeal, narrowing the gap in some surveys, while governors such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema draw narrower regional backing. Lula’s lead as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term leaves the identity of the runner-up dependent on how fragmented conservative and centrist votes remain in the final months before official candidacies are confirmed.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$3,616,761结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, consolidating right-wing support behind a single standard-bearer. Recent national polls place him consistently behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva but ahead of other contenders, reflecting the Bolsonarist base’s cohesion ahead of the runoff threshold. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has gained ground through social-media outreach and youth appeal, narrowing the gap in some surveys, while governors such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema draw narrower regional backing. Lula’s lead as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking a fourth term leaves the identity of the runner-up dependent on how fragmented conservative and centrist votes remain in the final months before official candidacies are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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