Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, reflecting his recent polling gains to 3–7 percent nationally and stronger showing among younger voters through intensive social-media outreach as the Missão Party nominee. This positions him ahead of established center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD and Romeu Zema of NOVO, who register 3–6 percent in recent surveys but draw narrower national support despite their state-level records. The market pricing tracks the polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, where a fragmented right-wing field and Santos’ lower rejection rates among anti-establishment conservatives elevate his prospects for edging out the governors before official candidacies finalize in July.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 41%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 19%
罗梅乌·泽马 18%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 8.4%
$312,781 交易量
$312,781 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
41%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
19%
罗梅乌·泽马
18%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
8%
费尔南多·阿达
4%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
3%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
2%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 41%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 19%
罗梅乌·泽马 18%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 8.4%
$312,781 交易量
$312,781 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$74,667 交易量
41%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$19,797 交易量
19%
罗梅乌·泽马
$12,419 交易量
18%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$9,183 交易量
8%
费尔南多·阿达
$16,015 交易量
4%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$5,826 交易量
3%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$6,529 交易量
2%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$7,188 交易量
1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$95,673 交易量
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$4,777 交易量
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$40,637 交易量
1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$4,622 交易量
1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$4,825 交易量
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$5,000 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$1,116 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$3,703 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$806 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, reflecting his recent polling gains to 3–7 percent nationally and stronger showing among younger voters through intensive social-media outreach as the Missão Party nominee. This positions him ahead of established center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD and Romeu Zema of NOVO, who register 3–6 percent in recent surveys but draw narrower national support despite their state-level records. The market pricing tracks the polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, where a fragmented right-wing field and Santos’ lower rejection rates among anti-establishment conservatives elevate his prospects for edging out the governors before official candidacies finalize in July.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$312,781结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, reflecting his recent polling gains to 3–7 percent nationally and stronger showing among younger voters through intensive social-media outreach as the Missão Party nominee. This positions him ahead of established center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD and Romeu Zema of NOVO, who register 3–6 percent in recent surveys but draw narrower national support despite their state-level records. The market pricing tracks the polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, where a fragmented right-wing field and Santos’ lower rejection rates among anti-establishment conservatives elevate his prospects for edging out the governors before official candidacies finalize in July.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$312,781结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, reflecting his recent polling gains to 3–7 percent nationally and stronger showing among younger voters through intensive social-media outreach as the Missão Party nominee. This positions him ahead of established center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD and Romeu Zema of NOVO, who register 3–6 percent in recent surveys but draw narrower national support despite their state-level records. The market pricing tracks the polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, where a fragmented right-wing field and Santos’ lower rejection rates among anti-establishment conservatives elevate his prospects for edging out the governors before official candidacies finalize in July.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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