Recent polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election shows a fragmented field, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate endorsed by his father, at 31-35 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each register single-digit support, leaving substantial undecided and blank/null shares. Brazilian rules require a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of valid votes for an outright first-round victory; otherwise a runoff follows on October 25. The polarized electorate and multiple viable opposition options continue to sustain trader consensus that no candidate will secure outright victory in the opening round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$68,403 交易量
$68,403 交易量
2026-10-04
是
$68,403 交易量
$68,403 交易量
2026-10-04
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election shows a fragmented field, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate endorsed by his father, at 31-35 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each register single-digit support, leaving substantial undecided and blank/null shares. Brazilian rules require a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of valid votes for an outright first-round victory; otherwise a runoff follows on October 25. The polarized electorate and multiple viable opposition options continue to sustain trader consensus that no candidate will secure outright victory in the opening round.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$68,403结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election shows a fragmented field, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate endorsed by his father, at 31-35 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each register single-digit support, leaving substantial undecided and blank/null shares. Brazilian rules require a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of valid votes for an outright first-round victory; otherwise a runoff follows on October 25. The polarized electorate and multiple viable opposition options continue to sustain trader consensus that no candidate will secure outright victory in the opening round.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$68,403结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election shows a fragmented field, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate endorsed by his father, at 31-35 percent. Other contenders including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each register single-digit support, leaving substantial undecided and blank/null shares. Brazilian rules require a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of valid votes for an outright first-round victory; otherwise a runoff follows on October 25. The polarized electorate and multiple viable opposition options continue to sustain trader consensus that no candidate will secure outright victory in the opening round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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