Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus's predominantly rodent-borne transmission and limited human-to-human spread, confined to close contact with Andes virus cases—the sole strain capable of person-to-person transmission. A May 2026 cruise ship cluster produced only 11–13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths, with WHO and CDC assessments rating global risk as low due to inefficient airborne spread unlike respiratory viruses such as influenza. Historical U.S. surveillance shows roughly 890 sporadic cases since 1993, nearly all tied to rodent exposure rather than sustained chains. Realistic challenges include rare mutations enabling broader transmission or undetected regional surges in South America, though current epidemiological data and model consensus indicate these remain improbable within the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
是
$13,910,875 交易量
$13,910,875 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$13,910,875 交易量
$13,910,875 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus's predominantly rodent-borne transmission and limited human-to-human spread, confined to close contact with Andes virus cases—the sole strain capable of person-to-person transmission. A May 2026 cruise ship cluster produced only 11–13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths, with WHO and CDC assessments rating global risk as low due to inefficient airborne spread unlike respiratory viruses such as influenza. Historical U.S. surveillance shows roughly 890 sporadic cases since 1993, nearly all tied to rodent exposure rather than sustained chains. Realistic challenges include rare mutations enabling broader transmission or undetected regional surges in South America, though current epidemiological data and model consensus indicate these remain improbable within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$13,910,875结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus's predominantly rodent-borne transmission and limited human-to-human spread, confined to close contact with Andes virus cases—the sole strain capable of person-to-person transmission. A May 2026 cruise ship cluster produced only 11–13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths, with WHO and CDC assessments rating global risk as low due to inefficient airborne spread unlike respiratory viruses such as influenza. Historical U.S. surveillance shows roughly 890 sporadic cases since 1993, nearly all tied to rodent exposure rather than sustained chains. Realistic challenges include rare mutations enabling broader transmission or undetected regional surges in South America, though current epidemiological data and model consensus indicate these remain improbable within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,910,886结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus's predominantly rodent-borne transmission and limited human-to-human spread, confined to close contact with Andes virus cases—the sole strain capable of person-to-person transmission. A May 2026 cruise ship cluster produced only 11–13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths, with WHO and CDC assessments rating global risk as low due to inefficient airborne spread unlike respiratory viruses such as influenza. Historical U.S. surveillance shows roughly 890 sporadic cases since 1993, nearly all tied to rodent exposure rather than sustained chains. Realistic challenges include rare mutations enabling broader transmission or undetected regional surges in South America, though current epidemiological data and model consensus indicate these remain improbable within the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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