Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting ensemble models indicate a Seoul daytime high near 29°C on June 2 under partly cloudy early-summer conditions with moderate southwesterly flow. This narrow projected range, aligned with historical climatology for the date, drives the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on exactly 29°C. Minor uncertainty remains from potential cloud-cover variations or localized heating that could push readings to 30°C or drop them to 28°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make those shifts unlikely before final measurements are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on June 2?
29°C 99.4%
30°C or higher <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$254,675 交易量
$254,675 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
99%
30°C or higher
1%
29°C 99.4%
30°C or higher <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$254,675 交易量
$254,675 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
99%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting ensemble models indicate a Seoul daytime high near 29°C on June 2 under partly cloudy early-summer conditions with moderate southwesterly flow. This narrow projected range, aligned with historical climatology for the date, drives the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on exactly 29°C. Minor uncertainty remains from potential cloud-cover variations or localized heating that could push readings to 30°C or drop them to 28°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make those shifts unlikely before final measurements are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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