Latest short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA show a pronounced warm anomaly for Wellington on June 2, with northerly winds and reduced cloud cover expected to push daytime highs well above the seasonal average of roughly 12–14 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning on 20 °C or higher. Historical June maxima rarely exceed 18 °C, so current atmospheric conditions represent a clear departure from climatology. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast cold front arrives or if official observations fall short of model guidance, though both scenarios appear unlikely given the strength of the current signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$70,385 交易量
$70,385 交易量
2026-06-02
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
100%
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$70,385 交易量
$70,385 交易量
2026-06-02
10°C or below
$347 交易量
<1%
11°C
$534 交易量
<1%
12°C
$277 交易量
<1%
13°C
$928 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,928 交易量
<1%
15°C
$4,724 交易量
<1%
16°C
$7,705 交易量
<1%
17°C
$11,424 交易量
<1%
18°C
$11,901 交易量
<1%
19°C
$11,825 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$18,792 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA show a pronounced warm anomaly for Wellington on June 2, with northerly winds and reduced cloud cover expected to push daytime highs well above the seasonal average of roughly 12–14 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning on 20 °C or higher. Historical June maxima rarely exceed 18 °C, so current atmospheric conditions represent a clear departure from climatology. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast cold front arrives or if official observations fall short of model guidance, though both scenarios appear unlikely given the strength of the current signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$70,385结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA show a pronounced warm anomaly for Wellington on June 2, with northerly winds and reduced cloud cover expected to push daytime highs well above the seasonal average of roughly 12–14 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning on 20 °C or higher. Historical June maxima rarely exceed 18 °C, so current atmospheric conditions represent a clear departure from climatology. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast cold front arrives or if official observations fall short of model guidance, though both scenarios appear unlikely given the strength of the current signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,385结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA show a pronounced warm anomaly for Wellington on June 2, with northerly winds and reduced cloud cover expected to push daytime highs well above the seasonal average of roughly 12–14 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning on 20 °C or higher. Historical June maxima rarely exceed 18 °C, so current atmospheric conditions represent a clear departure from climatology. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast cold front arrives or if official observations fall short of model guidance, though both scenarios appear unlikely given the strength of the current signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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