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icon for 6月2日香港气温最高?

6月2日香港气温最高?

icon for 6月2日香港气温最高?

6月2日香港气温最高?

33°C 61%

34°C或更高 20%

32°C 19%

31°C <1%

Polymarket

$226,226 交易量

33°C 61%

34°C或更高 20%

32°C 19%

31°C <1%

Polymarket

$226,226 交易量

24°C或以下

$1,432 交易量

<1%

25°C

$442 交易量

<1%

26°C

$226 交易量

<1%

27°C

$414 交易量

<1%

28°C

$1,546 交易量

<1%

29°C

$6,211 交易量

<1%

30°C

$111,623 交易量

<1%

31°C

$71,271 交易量

<1%

32°C

$9,032 交易量

19%

33°C

$11,148 交易量

61%

34°C或更高

$15,084 交易量

20%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on June 2 amid lingering warm anticyclonic conditions and above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through the first week of the month. The Hong Kong Observatory’s June–August outlook highlights elevated temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and current climate indices, while typical early-June humidity and potential showers cap further rises. Historical climatology shows mean maxima of 30–32°C for the date, making 33°C the market frontrunner as traders weigh model consensus against the narrow window for 34°C or higher. Updated runs and real-time observations will refine resolution against official records.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$226,226
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on June 2 amid lingering warm anticyclonic conditions and above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through the first week of the month. The Hong Kong Observatory’s June–August outlook highlights elevated temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and current climate indices, while typical early-June humidity and potential showers cap further rises. Historical climatology shows mean maxima of 30–32°C for the date, making 33°C the market frontrunner as traders weigh model consensus against the narrow window for 34°C or higher. Updated runs and real-time observations will refine resolution against official records.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$226,226
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"6月2日香港气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"33°C",概率为 61%,其次是"34°C或更高",概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 61¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 61%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"6月2日香港气温最高?"已产生 $226.2K 的总交易量(自May 31, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"6月2日香港气温最高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"6月2日香港气温最高?"的当前领先者是"33°C",概率为 61%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 61%。紧随其后的结果是"34°C或更高",概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"6月2日香港气温最高?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。