Current meteorological forecasts for Qingdao point to daytime highs near 24°C on June 4 under overcast skies with possible light showers, aligning with early June climatology of 22–25°C averages and historical extremes rarely exceeding 28°C. Official guidance from agencies highlights moderate northeasterly winds and high humidity that typically suppress rapid warming. Market-implied odds, led by 31°C or higher at 46.5%, appear driven by awareness of short-term model variability, coastal sea surface temperature influences, and the potential for localized heat under clearer conditions. Updated runs from global and regional models, along with China Meteorological Administration briefings, will provide key data shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 4?
26°C 24%
27°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
20%
28°C
18%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 24%
27°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
20%
28°C
18%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Qingdao point to daytime highs near 24°C on June 4 under overcast skies with possible light showers, aligning with early June climatology of 22–25°C averages and historical extremes rarely exceeding 28°C. Official guidance from agencies highlights moderate northeasterly winds and high humidity that typically suppress rapid warming. Market-implied odds, led by 31°C or higher at 46.5%, appear driven by awareness of short-term model variability, coastal sea surface temperature influences, and the potential for localized heat under clearer conditions. Updated runs from global and regional models, along with China Meteorological Administration briefings, will provide key data shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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