Current weather models from regional forecasts, including those aligned with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, indicate the daily minimum temperature on June 2 will reach 28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions driven by warm, humid air masses from the South China Sea and limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks for June-August 2026 and climatological patterns where June minima often hover near 26–28°C. Trader consensus at 98.1% for 28°C reflects strong model agreement on these factors, though realistic shifts could occur from revised forecast runs, localized heavy showers enhancing cooling, or an unexpected frontal passage altering the temperature trajectory before official daily observations are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 2?
28°C 98.0%
27°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$29,775 交易量
$29,775 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98.0%
27°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$29,775 交易量
$29,775 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from regional forecasts, including those aligned with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, indicate the daily minimum temperature on June 2 will reach 28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions driven by warm, humid air masses from the South China Sea and limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks for June-August 2026 and climatological patterns where June minima often hover near 26–28°C. Trader consensus at 98.1% for 28°C reflects strong model agreement on these factors, though realistic shifts could occur from revised forecast runs, localized heavy showers enhancing cooling, or an unexpected frontal passage altering the temperature trajectory before official daily observations are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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