Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and global models show maximum temperatures in Milan on June 4 clustered tightly around 22–24°C, driving the equal 35.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Synoptic patterns featuring moderate high pressure and limited daytime heating contribute to this range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover creating model spread that prevents stronger consensus on any single value. Historical early-June climatology for northern Italy supports highs near 24–26°C on average, but current runs indicate slightly cooler conditions. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 4?
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
25°C 24%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
25°C 24%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and global models show maximum temperatures in Milan on June 4 clustered tightly around 22–24°C, driving the equal 35.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Synoptic patterns featuring moderate high pressure and limited daytime heating contribute to this range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover creating model spread that prevents stronger consensus on any single value. Historical early-June climatology for northern Italy supports highs near 24–26°C on average, but current runs indicate slightly cooler conditions. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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