Current short-range forecasts from major models place Munich's maximum temperature on June 4 near 21–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23 °C as the modal outcome. Ensemble spreads and timing of any daytime cloud build-up or showers introduce the primary uncertainty, as even modest changes in insolation or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Early-June climatology, with average highs of 20–22 °C, provides baseline context, while recent model runs show slightly warmer steering flow that supports the modest upside probability reflected in the 24–25 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 4?
24°C 30%
23°C 30%
22°C 11%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
11%
23°C
30%
24°C
30%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 30%
23°C 30%
22°C 11%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
18°C or below
$10 交易量
1%
19°C
$25 交易量
1%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
5%
22°C
$10 交易量
11%
23°C
$7 交易量
30%
24°C
$21 交易量
30%
25°C
$0 交易量
10%
26°C
$2 交易量
4%
27°C
$2 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$20 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Munich's maximum temperature on June 4 near 21–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23 °C as the modal outcome. Ensemble spreads and timing of any daytime cloud build-up or showers introduce the primary uncertainty, as even modest changes in insolation or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Early-June climatology, with average highs of 20–22 °C, provides baseline context, while recent model runs show slightly warmer steering flow that supports the modest upside probability reflected in the 24–25 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Munich's maximum temperature on June 4 near 21–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23 °C as the modal outcome. Ensemble spreads and timing of any daytime cloud build-up or showers introduce the primary uncertainty, as even modest changes in insolation or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Early-June climatology, with average highs of 20–22 °C, provides baseline context, while recent model runs show slightly warmer steering flow that supports the modest upside probability reflected in the 24–25 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from major models place Munich's maximum temperature on June 4 near 21–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23 °C as the modal outcome. Ensemble spreads and timing of any daytime cloud build-up or showers introduce the primary uncertainty, as even modest changes in insolation or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Early-June climatology, with average highs of 20–22 °C, provides baseline context, while recent model runs show slightly warmer steering flow that supports the modest upside probability reflected in the 24–25 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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