Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago will likely reach a daytime high of 75°F or warmer on June 3, driving the market-implied probability above 98% for 74°F or higher. This aligns with climatological normals near 77°F for the date and current atmospheric patterns supporting above-average warmth under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Key resolution criteria center on official observations from Chicago-area stations, with little model disagreement on exceeding the threshold. A rapid shift from unexpected cloud cover, a passing front, or measurement variability remains possible but appears improbable based on the latest forecast consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on June 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 3?
74°F or higher 98.4%
72-73°F 1.4%
70-71°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
98%
74°F or higher 98.4%
72-73°F 1.4%
70-71°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
55°F or below
$373 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$448 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$431 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$357 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$452 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$463 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$473 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$441 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,391 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$2,706 交易量
1%
74°F or higher
$2,461 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago will likely reach a daytime high of 75°F or warmer on June 3, driving the market-implied probability above 98% for 74°F or higher. This aligns with climatological normals near 77°F for the date and current atmospheric patterns supporting above-average warmth under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Key resolution criteria center on official observations from Chicago-area stations, with little model disagreement on exceeding the threshold. A rapid shift from unexpected cloud cover, a passing front, or measurement variability remains possible but appears improbable based on the latest forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,636结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago will likely reach a daytime high of 75°F or warmer on June 3, driving the market-implied probability above 98% for 74°F or higher. This aligns with climatological normals near 77°F for the date and current atmospheric patterns supporting above-average warmth under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Key resolution criteria center on official observations from Chicago-area stations, with little model disagreement on exceeding the threshold. A rapid shift from unexpected cloud cover, a passing front, or measurement variability remains possible but appears improbable based on the latest forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,636结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago will likely reach a daytime high of 75°F or warmer on June 3, driving the market-implied probability above 98% for 74°F or higher. This aligns with climatological normals near 77°F for the date and current atmospheric patterns supporting above-average warmth under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Key resolution criteria center on official observations from Chicago-area stations, with little model disagreement on exceeding the threshold. A rapid shift from unexpected cloud cover, a passing front, or measurement variability remains possible but appears improbable based on the latest forecast consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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