Current numerical weather model consensus for Jeddah indicates a daily maximum near 35–36 °C on June 4, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering there. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location moderates extremes through persistent sea-breeze circulation and high humidity, while early-June climatology shows average highs of 36 °C with typical ranges of 33–38 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty stems from minor variations in model handling of boundary-layer mixing and any weak upper-level troughs that could alter peak heating by 1–2 °C. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 38 °C this early in the month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月4日吉达的最高温度?
36°C 29%
35°C 29%
37°C 17%
38°C或更高 10%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
29%
36°C
22%
37°C
17%
38°C或更高
10%
36°C 29%
35°C 29%
37°C 17%
38°C或更高 10%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
29%
36°C
22%
37°C
17%
38°C或更高
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather model consensus for Jeddah indicates a daily maximum near 35–36 °C on June 4, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering there. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location moderates extremes through persistent sea-breeze circulation and high humidity, while early-June climatology shows average highs of 36 °C with typical ranges of 33–38 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty stems from minor variations in model handling of boundary-layer mixing and any weak upper-level troughs that could alter peak heating by 1–2 °C. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 38 °C this early in the month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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