Official assessments from the CDC and WHO following the limited May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard a cruise ship—yielding roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—have reinforced trader consensus for no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability. Andes virus, which causes hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, spreads primarily through zoonotic exposure to rodent excreta rather than sustained human-to-human transmission, consistent with 229 sporadic cases reported across eight Americas countries in 2025. No evidence supports efficient airborne or exponential community spread. While viral mutations enabling wider person-to-person transmission remain a low-probability theoretical risk, current epidemiological surveillance and historical patterns indicate isolated outbreaks are far more likely than a global event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
是
$13,919,564 交易量
$13,919,564 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$13,919,564 交易量
$13,919,564 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official assessments from the CDC and WHO following the limited May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard a cruise ship—yielding roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—have reinforced trader consensus for no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability. Andes virus, which causes hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, spreads primarily through zoonotic exposure to rodent excreta rather than sustained human-to-human transmission, consistent with 229 sporadic cases reported across eight Americas countries in 2025. No evidence supports efficient airborne or exponential community spread. While viral mutations enabling wider person-to-person transmission remain a low-probability theoretical risk, current epidemiological surveillance and historical patterns indicate isolated outbreaks are far more likely than a global event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$13,919,564结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official assessments from the CDC and WHO following the limited May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard a cruise ship—yielding roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—have reinforced trader consensus for no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability. Andes virus, which causes hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, spreads primarily through zoonotic exposure to rodent excreta rather than sustained human-to-human transmission, consistent with 229 sporadic cases reported across eight Americas countries in 2025. No evidence supports efficient airborne or exponential community spread. While viral mutations enabling wider person-to-person transmission remain a low-probability theoretical risk, current epidemiological surveillance and historical patterns indicate isolated outbreaks are far more likely than a global event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,919,952结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Official assessments from the CDC and WHO following the limited May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard a cruise ship—yielding roughly 10 confirmed cases and three deaths—have reinforced trader consensus for no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability. Andes virus, which causes hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, spreads primarily through zoonotic exposure to rodent excreta rather than sustained human-to-human transmission, consistent with 229 sporadic cases reported across eight Americas countries in 2025. No evidence supports efficient airborne or exponential community spread. While viral mutations enabling wider person-to-person transmission remain a low-probability theoretical risk, current epidemiological surveillance and historical patterns indicate isolated outbreaks are far more likely than a global event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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