Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project daytime maximum temperatures in Mexico City reaching 26°C or higher on June 1, consistent with the onset of the warmer phase of the rainy season and climatological averages near 24–25°C for early June. This consensus underpins the dominant market-implied odds on 26°C or above, as recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns and moisture that could suppress peak readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation, though such deviations remain low-probability based on ongoing observational data and ensemble spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 1?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$31,811 交易量
$31,811 交易量
2026-06-01
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$31,811 交易量
$31,811 交易量
2026-06-01
16°C or below
$632 交易量
<1%
17°C
$293 交易量
<1%
18°C
$293 交易量
<1%
19°C
$674 交易量
<1%
20°C
$353 交易量
<1%
21°C
$7,640 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,302 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,710 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,800 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,933 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$11,192 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project daytime maximum temperatures in Mexico City reaching 26°C or higher on June 1, consistent with the onset of the warmer phase of the rainy season and climatological averages near 24–25°C for early June. This consensus underpins the dominant market-implied odds on 26°C or above, as recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns and moisture that could suppress peak readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation, though such deviations remain low-probability based on ongoing observational data and ensemble spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$31,811结束日期
2026-06-01市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project daytime maximum temperatures in Mexico City reaching 26°C or higher on June 1, consistent with the onset of the warmer phase of the rainy season and climatological averages near 24–25°C for early June. This consensus underpins the dominant market-implied odds on 26°C or above, as recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns and moisture that could suppress peak readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation, though such deviations remain low-probability based on ongoing observational data and ensemble spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,811结束日期
2026-06-01市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecast models from meteorological agencies project daytime maximum temperatures in Mexico City reaching 26°C or higher on June 1, consistent with the onset of the warmer phase of the rainy season and climatological averages near 24–25°C for early June. This consensus underpins the dominant market-implied odds on 26°C or above, as recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns and moisture that could suppress peak readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation, though such deviations remain low-probability based on ongoing observational data and ensemble spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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