Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Milan on June 3 near 27°C under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early summer in the Po Valley. This consensus, with limited model spread, positions 27°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C and 26°C. Early June climatology shows average highs of 26–28°C, and current conditions lack the strong advection or clear skies needed for outliers above 29°C or below 25°C. Traders are weighting these model runs heavily as resolution nears, with minimal expected revision in the final 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 3?
27°C 43%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
29°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
20%
27°C
43%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
29°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
20%
27°C
43%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Milan on June 3 near 27°C under a stable high-pressure pattern typical of early summer in the Po Valley. This consensus, with limited model spread, positions 27°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C and 26°C. Early June climatology shows average highs of 26–28°C, and current conditions lack the strong advection or clear skies needed for outliers above 29°C or below 25°C. Traders are weighting these model runs heavily as resolution nears, with minimal expected revision in the final 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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