Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from major centers, indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Hong Kong on June 3 will likely range from 27–29°C under stable subtropical ridging and the strengthening southwest monsoon. High humidity typical of early summer limits radiative cooling overnight, aligning with climatological baselines where early-June lows average 25–27°C. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance, updated May 29, projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 amid long-term warming trends, supporting trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily minimum. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in monsoon flow or cloud cover over the next 24 hours represent the primary variables that could adjust these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 3?
28°C 51%
29°C 37%
27°C 9%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
51%
29°C
37%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
29°C 37%
27°C 9%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
22°C or below
$318 交易量
<1%
23°C
$323 交易量
<1%
24°C
$323 交易量
<1%
25°C
$102 交易量
<1%
26°C
$569 交易量
1%
27°C
$82 交易量
9%
28°C
$325 交易量
51%
29°C
$269 交易量
37%
30°C
$106 交易量
5%
31°C
$212 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from major centers, indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Hong Kong on June 3 will likely range from 27–29°C under stable subtropical ridging and the strengthening southwest monsoon. High humidity typical of early summer limits radiative cooling overnight, aligning with climatological baselines where early-June lows average 25–27°C. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance, updated May 29, projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 amid long-term warming trends, supporting trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily minimum. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in monsoon flow or cloud cover over the next 24 hours represent the primary variables that could adjust these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
交易量
$2,135结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from major centers, indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Hong Kong on June 3 will likely range from 27–29°C under stable subtropical ridging and the strengthening southwest monsoon. High humidity typical of early summer limits radiative cooling overnight, aligning with climatological baselines where early-June lows average 25–27°C. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance, updated May 29, projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 amid long-term warming trends, supporting trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily minimum. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in monsoon flow or cloud cover over the next 24 hours represent the primary variables that could adjust these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,135结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs from major centers, indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Hong Kong on June 3 will likely range from 27–29°C under stable subtropical ridging and the strengthening southwest monsoon. High humidity typical of early summer limits radiative cooling overnight, aligning with climatological baselines where early-June lows average 25–27°C. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance, updated May 29, projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026 amid long-term warming trends, supporting trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily minimum. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in monsoon flow or cloud cover over the next 24 hours represent the primary variables that could adjust these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题