Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on June 3, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show modest spread, with some runs favoring 12–13°C if clearer spells develop and others reaching 14–15°C under thicker cloud or slightly warmer advection. This uncertainty, combined with typical June variability around the 11–12°C climatological baseline, concentrates trader focus on the 13–14°C band as the most probable outcome range ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in London on June 3?
14°C 34%
13°C 27%
15°C 20%
12°C 14%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
27%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
14°C 34%
13°C 27%
15°C 20%
12°C 14%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
27%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on June 3, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show modest spread, with some runs favoring 12–13°C if clearer spells develop and others reaching 14–15°C under thicker cloud or slightly warmer advection. This uncertainty, combined with typical June variability around the 11–12°C climatological baseline, concentrates trader focus on the 13–14°C band as the most probable outcome range ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题