Recent high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major global ensembles have converged on an overnight minimum temperature of 17°C for Seoul on June 2, producing the market's overwhelming 99.1% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology in the region typically features lows near 16–18°C under transitional spring-to-summer conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover, and current model guidance shows no significant deviations from this baseline. The strong consensus reflects limited uncertainty in short-range forecasts this close to the observation window, though minor shifts remain possible if unexpected changes in radiative cooling, wind patterns, or local advection occur before the minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 2?
17°C 99.2%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,486 交易量
$20,486 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.2%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,486 交易量
$20,486 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major global ensembles have converged on an overnight minimum temperature of 17°C for Seoul on June 2, producing the market's overwhelming 99.1% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology in the region typically features lows near 16–18°C under transitional spring-to-summer conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover, and current model guidance shows no significant deviations from this baseline. The strong consensus reflects limited uncertainty in short-range forecasts this close to the observation window, though minor shifts remain possible if unexpected changes in radiative cooling, wind patterns, or local advection occur before the minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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