Recent forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low in Tokyo near 17–19°C on June 3, driven by the approach of Typhoon Jangmi (No. 6), which is expected to deliver bands of rain, increased cloud cover, and moderating winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the early phase of the tsuyu rainy season, when persistent moisture typically caps minimum temperatures in the upper teens Celsius. Market-implied odds place 19°C as the frontrunner at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on these atmospheric conditions, while 17–20°C outcomes capture the range of model variability ahead of the event. Updated forecasts from the National Meteorological Center and similar bodies will provide the final verified reading for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 3?
19°C 49%
18°C 24%
20°C 19%
17°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
14%
18°C
23%
19°C
44%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 49%
18°C 24%
20°C 19%
17°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
14%
18°C
23%
19°C
44%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low in Tokyo near 17–19°C on June 3, driven by the approach of Typhoon Jangmi (No. 6), which is expected to deliver bands of rain, increased cloud cover, and moderating winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the early phase of the tsuyu rainy season, when persistent moisture typically caps minimum temperatures in the upper teens Celsius. Market-implied odds place 19°C as the frontrunner at 44%, reflecting trader consensus on these atmospheric conditions, while 17–20°C outcomes capture the range of model variability ahead of the event. Updated forecasts from the National Meteorological Center and similar bodies will provide the final verified reading for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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