Recent forecasts from meteorological models have converged on a daytime high of 37°C in Guangzhou on June 2, reflecting reduced cloud cover and stronger solar heating compared to earlier guidance that anticipated more widespread monsoon-driven convection from the South China Sea. Ensemble predictions now show limited variability around this peak, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where highs often reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. The overwhelming market-implied odds on 37°C capture this consensus while acknowledging that afternoon thunderstorms could still cap temperatures slightly lower or allow brief spikes above if convection develops later than expected. Final resolution awaits official observational data from local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 2?
37°C 99.8%
38°C <1%
36°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$123,947 交易量
$123,947 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 99.8%
38°C <1%
36°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$123,947 交易量
$123,947 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models have converged on a daytime high of 37°C in Guangzhou on June 2, reflecting reduced cloud cover and stronger solar heating compared to earlier guidance that anticipated more widespread monsoon-driven convection from the South China Sea. Ensemble predictions now show limited variability around this peak, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where highs often reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. The overwhelming market-implied odds on 37°C capture this consensus while acknowledging that afternoon thunderstorms could still cap temperatures slightly lower or allow brief spikes above if convection develops later than expected. Final resolution awaits official observational data from local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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