Current Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London on June 4 indicate overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 11–14 °C under near-average early-June conditions, following a warmer-than-normal May. Variable cloud cover associated with scattered showers and light winds will influence radiative cooling rates, keeping the precise low uncertain within a narrow band. Historical climatology shows early June minima averaging around 11–12 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C. Final model updates and surface observations through June 3 will further narrow the expected range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in London on June 4?
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
18%
13°C
26%
14°C
22%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
18%
13°C
26%
14°C
22%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London on June 4 indicate overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 11–14 °C under near-average early-June conditions, following a warmer-than-normal May. Variable cloud cover associated with scattered showers and light winds will influence radiative cooling rates, keeping the precise low uncertain within a narrow band. Historical climatology shows early June minima averaging around 11–12 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C. Final model updates and surface observations through June 3 will further narrow the expected range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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