Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23°C on June 4, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with southerly flow and limited cold-air intrusions. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows moderating temperatures amid rising humidity and scattered showers associated with the onset of the mei-yu rainy season, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling but rarely produces sharp drops this time of year. Historical June averages place minimums around 20–21°C, providing a baseline against which recent stable guidance supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 25°C. Minor divergences in ensemble runs regarding cloud cover and precipitation timing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated short-range forecasts expected to refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
22°C 36%
25°C 36%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
16%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
30%
27°C or higher
8%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
22°C 36%
25°C 36%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
16%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
30%
27°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23°C on June 4, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with southerly flow and limited cold-air intrusions. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows moderating temperatures amid rising humidity and scattered showers associated with the onset of the mei-yu rainy season, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling but rarely produces sharp drops this time of year. Historical June averages place minimums around 20–21°C, providing a baseline against which recent stable guidance supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 25°C. Minor divergences in ensemble runs regarding cloud cover and precipitation timing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated short-range forecasts expected to refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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