Current National Weather Service and private forecast models project a high temperature in the low to mid-80s for Denver on June 3 under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, placing the outcome well above the 78°F threshold. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when daily highs typically climb from 78°F to 87°F, and supports the overwhelming 96% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher. Minor variations in timing of any late-day scattered thunderstorms could trim the peak by a degree or two, though ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on June 3?
78°F or higher 96%
76-77°F 2.5%
74-75°F 1.1%
72-73°F <1%
$27,341 交易量
$27,341 交易量
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
96%
78°F or higher 96%
76-77°F 2.5%
74-75°F 1.1%
72-73°F <1%
$27,341 交易量
$27,341 交易量
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private forecast models project a high temperature in the low to mid-80s for Denver on June 3 under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, placing the outcome well above the 78°F threshold. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when daily highs typically climb from 78°F to 87°F, and supports the overwhelming 96% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher. Minor variations in timing of any late-day scattered thunderstorms could trim the peak by a degree or two, though ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题