Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate peak daytime temperatures in Guangzhou reaching the mid-30s Celsius amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and light winds supporting gradual warming. Official observations and ensemble guidance show consistency around 35–37°C maxima, aligning with the market’s dominant 90.4% implied probability for 37°C as the daily high. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of current atmospheric stability and limited cooling influences from nearby weather systems. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected convective activity or a stronger onshore flow lowering readings below 37°C, or clearer skies and reduced moisture allowing a brief spike toward 38°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 2?
37°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
38°C <1%
34°C <1%
$75,043 交易量
$75,043 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
38°C <1%
34°C <1%
$75,043 交易量
$75,043 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate peak daytime temperatures in Guangzhou reaching the mid-30s Celsius amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and light winds supporting gradual warming. Official observations and ensemble guidance show consistency around 35–37°C maxima, aligning with the market’s dominant 90.4% implied probability for 37°C as the daily high. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of current atmospheric stability and limited cooling influences from nearby weather systems. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected convective activity or a stronger onshore flow lowering readings below 37°C, or clearer skies and reduced moisture allowing a brief spike toward 38°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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