**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on June 3, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-range forecast models.** These indicate peak readings near or below 41°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, consistent with observed temperatures in recent days and the broader seasonal pattern of near-normal to slightly above-normal maxima across Uttar Pradesh. Numerical weather prediction runs show limited daytime heating due to expected moisture influx and cloud cover that tempers solar radiation, aligning with historical early-June averages around 38–40°C. While IMD outlooks note above-normal heatwave potential through the season, specific model consensus for this date keeps extreme outliers (42°C+) at very low implied probabilities. A rapid shift to clear, dry conditions or delayed monsoon influences could push readings higher, though current ensemble guidance assigns low likelihood to such developments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日勒克瑙的最高温度?
41°C或以下 98.7%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44℃ <1%
41°C或以下
99%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44℃
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C或更高
<1%
41°C或以下 98.7%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44℃ <1%
41°C或以下
99%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44℃
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on June 3, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) short-range forecast models.** These indicate peak readings near or below 41°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, consistent with observed temperatures in recent days and the broader seasonal pattern of near-normal to slightly above-normal maxima across Uttar Pradesh. Numerical weather prediction runs show limited daytime heating due to expected moisture influx and cloud cover that tempers solar radiation, aligning with historical early-June averages around 38–40°C. While IMD outlooks note above-normal heatwave potential through the season, specific model consensus for this date keeps extreme outliers (42°C+) at very low implied probabilities. A rapid shift to clear, dry conditions or delayed monsoon influences could push readings higher, though current ensemble guidance assigns low likelihood to such developments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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