Market consensus for a 20°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 1 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature under typical early-winter conditions. Regional monitoring data showed stable atmospheric patterns with no significant warming from subtropical highs or reduced cloud cover that could have pushed readings higher. June averages for the city center around 21–23°C, placing 20°C squarely within expected variability for the season. Traders priced in the outcome at essentially 100% once real-time station reports aligned precisely with this threshold, consistent with historical baselines from national weather services. Only an uncharacteristic late-day spike from localized urban heat effects or measurement revision would have altered the resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 1?
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$42,200 交易量
$42,200 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$42,200 交易量
$42,200 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Market consensus for a 20°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 1 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature under typical early-winter conditions. Regional monitoring data showed stable atmospheric patterns with no significant warming from subtropical highs or reduced cloud cover that could have pushed readings higher. June averages for the city center around 21–23°C, placing 20°C squarely within expected variability for the season. Traders priced in the outcome at essentially 100% once real-time station reports aligned precisely with this threshold, consistent with historical baselines from national weather services. Only an uncharacteristic late-day spike from localized urban heat effects or measurement revision would have altered the resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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