Official forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen’s maximum temperature near 33°C on June 2, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Current observations and model consensus show typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius driven by seasonal solar heating, high humidity, and light southerly flow. Historical June averages for the region hover around 31°C, providing climatological support. The narrow trading range on adjacent values reflects limited uncertainty once daily maximum readings are confirmed by standardized station data. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized heavy precipitation could still trim the peak by 1–2°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
33°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$99,218 交易量
$99,218 交易量
2026-06-02
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$99,218 交易量
$99,218 交易量
2026-06-02
25°C or below
$662 交易量
<1%
26°C
$612 交易量
<1%
27°C
$631 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,866 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,399 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,873 交易量
<1%
31°C
$25,083 交易量
<1%
32°C
$32,513 交易量
1%
33°C
$13,895 交易量
100%
34°C
$8,768 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$11,296 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen’s maximum temperature near 33°C on June 2, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Current observations and model consensus show typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius driven by seasonal solar heating, high humidity, and light southerly flow. Historical June averages for the region hover around 31°C, providing climatological support. The narrow trading range on adjacent values reflects limited uncertainty once daily maximum readings are confirmed by standardized station data. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized heavy precipitation could still trim the peak by 1–2°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$99,218结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen’s maximum temperature near 33°C on June 2, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Current observations and model consensus show typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius driven by seasonal solar heating, high humidity, and light southerly flow. Historical June averages for the region hover around 31°C, providing climatological support. The narrow trading range on adjacent values reflects limited uncertainty once daily maximum readings are confirmed by standardized station data. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized heavy precipitation could still trim the peak by 1–2°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$99,218结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ETOfficial forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen’s maximum temperature near 33°C on June 2, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Current observations and model consensus show typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius driven by seasonal solar heating, high humidity, and light southerly flow. Historical June averages for the region hover around 31°C, providing climatological support. The narrow trading range on adjacent values reflects limited uncertainty once daily maximum readings are confirmed by standardized station data. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized heavy precipitation could still trim the peak by 1–2°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题