Current forecasts from meteorological models position Shenzhen’s maximum temperature on June 3 near 33–34 °C, reflecting typical early-June subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Official guidance shows daytime highs climbing from overnight lows around 27 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological averages near 31 °C but elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. This range aligns with trader consensus, as 33 °C and 34 °C together capture nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon convection or model variations in boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by 1 °C or allow brief spikes above 34 °C if insolation persists longer. Updated short-range runs expected later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 3?
33°C 40%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C or higher 13%
$16,439 交易量
$16,439 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
17%
33°C
40%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
13%
33°C 40%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C or higher 13%
$16,439 交易量
$16,439 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
17%
33°C
40%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological models position Shenzhen’s maximum temperature on June 3 near 33–34 °C, reflecting typical early-June subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Official guidance shows daytime highs climbing from overnight lows around 27 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological averages near 31 °C but elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. This range aligns with trader consensus, as 33 °C and 34 °C together capture nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon convection or model variations in boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by 1 °C or allow brief spikes above 34 °C if insolation persists longer. Updated short-range runs expected later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题