Current forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate a daytime high of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on June 3, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 39.5% and 31% implied probability. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures depend on solar heating under partly cloudy skies, southerly moisture advection, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation during afternoon hours. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns, though localized thunderstorms or shifts in wind direction could suppress maxima toward 32°C or allow brief spikes to 35°C. Historical June averages near 31–32°C provide context, with traders weighing these against real-time observational updates and ensemble guidance expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 3?
33°C 40%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C or higher 15%
$16,796 交易量
$16,796 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
40%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
15%
33°C 40%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C or higher 15%
$16,796 交易量
$16,796 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
40%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate a daytime high of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on June 3, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 39.5% and 31% implied probability. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures depend on solar heating under partly cloudy skies, southerly moisture advection, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation during afternoon hours. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns, though localized thunderstorms or shifts in wind direction could suppress maxima toward 32°C or allow brief spikes to 35°C. Historical June averages near 31–32°C provide context, with traders weighing these against real-time observational updates and ensemble guidance expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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