Current meteorological conditions across northern Taiwan, including clear skies, light winds, and elevated humidity levels typical of early June, are driving the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for a Taipei high of 37°C or above on June 2. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models project afternoon peaks reaching or exceeding this threshold at the primary Songshan station, consistent with the seasonal climb from May's record 38.3°C reading and climatological baselines near 31–33°C. Minimal model disagreement exists around steering patterns or cloud cover that could suppress maxima, though any late-day convective development or measurement revision at the urban heat-island site remains the primary realistic variable that could alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on June 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 2?
37°C or higher 99.4%
36°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$120,591 交易量
$120,591 交易量
2026-06-02
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
99%
37°C or higher 99.4%
36°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$120,591 交易量
$120,591 交易量
2026-06-02
27°C or below
$381 交易量
<1%
28°C
$386 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,533 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,371 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,911 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,280 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,253 交易量
<1%
34°C
$4,651 交易量
<1%
35°C
$9,508 交易量
<1%
36°C
$41,478 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$51,630 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions across northern Taiwan, including clear skies, light winds, and elevated humidity levels typical of early June, are driving the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for a Taipei high of 37°C or above on June 2. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models project afternoon peaks reaching or exceeding this threshold at the primary Songshan station, consistent with the seasonal climb from May's record 38.3°C reading and climatological baselines near 31–33°C. Minimal model disagreement exists around steering patterns or cloud cover that could suppress maxima, though any late-day convective development or measurement revision at the urban heat-island site remains the primary realistic variable that could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$120,591结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions across northern Taiwan, including clear skies, light winds, and elevated humidity levels typical of early June, are driving the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for a Taipei high of 37°C or above on June 2. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models project afternoon peaks reaching or exceeding this threshold at the primary Songshan station, consistent with the seasonal climb from May's record 38.3°C reading and climatological baselines near 31–33°C. Minimal model disagreement exists around steering patterns or cloud cover that could suppress maxima, though any late-day convective development or measurement revision at the urban heat-island site remains the primary realistic variable that could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120,591结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETCurrent meteorological conditions across northern Taiwan, including clear skies, light winds, and elevated humidity levels typical of early June, are driving the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for a Taipei high of 37°C or above on June 2. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models project afternoon peaks reaching or exceeding this threshold at the primary Songshan station, consistent with the seasonal climb from May's record 38.3°C reading and climatological baselines near 31–33°C. Minimal model disagreement exists around steering patterns or cloud cover that could suppress maxima, though any late-day convective development or measurement revision at the urban heat-island site remains the primary realistic variable that could alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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