The approaching Typhoon Jangmi, forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency to bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover to the Kanto region including Tokyo on June 3, is the dominant driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered on 22–23 °C. These conditions are expected to suppress daytime heating relative to typical early-June climatology of 25–26 °C, with model consensus favoring a maximum near 22 °C amid persistent precipitation. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in the storm’s exact track, timing of heaviest rain, and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, while official guidance continues to highlight elevated flood and wind risks that further limit warming potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日东京气温最高？
6月3日东京气温最高？
22°C 36%
23°C 26%
21°C 18%
24°C 9.6%
最新
$26,914 交易量
最新
$26,914 交易量
2026-06-03
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
18%
22°C
36%
23°C
26%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
<1%
22°C 36%
23°C 26%
21°C 18%
24°C 9.6%
最新
$26,914 交易量
最新
$26,914 交易量
2026-06-03
16°C或以下
$1,550 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,651 交易量
<1%
18°C
$6,674 交易量
<1%
19°C
$6,182 交易量
1%
20°C
$2,774 交易量
5%
21°C
$1,873 交易量
18%
22°C
$1,558 交易量
36%
23°C
$1,458 交易量
26%
24°C
$1,018 交易量
10%
25°C
$1,131 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$496 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching Typhoon Jangmi, forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency to bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover to the Kanto region including Tokyo on June 3, is the dominant driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered on 22–23 °C. These conditions are expected to suppress daytime heating relative to typical early-June climatology of 25–26 °C, with model consensus favoring a maximum near 22 °C amid persistent precipitation. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in the storm’s exact track, timing of heaviest rain, and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, while official guidance continues to highlight elevated flood and wind risks that further limit warming potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$26,914结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching Typhoon Jangmi, forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency to bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover to the Kanto region including Tokyo on June 3, is the dominant driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered on 22–23 °C. These conditions are expected to suppress daytime heating relative to typical early-June climatology of 25–26 °C, with model consensus favoring a maximum near 22 °C amid persistent precipitation. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in the storm’s exact track, timing of heaviest rain, and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, while official guidance continues to highlight elevated flood and wind risks that further limit warming potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,914结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThe approaching Typhoon Jangmi, forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency to bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover to the Kanto region including Tokyo on June 3, is the dominant driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered on 22–23 °C. These conditions are expected to suppress daytime heating relative to typical early-June climatology of 25–26 °C, with model consensus favoring a maximum near 22 °C amid persistent precipitation. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in the storm’s exact track, timing of heaviest rain, and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings, while official guidance continues to highlight elevated flood and wind risks that further limit warming potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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