National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance projected Austin reaching the low to mid-90s on June 1 under southerly flow and building upper-level ridging, consistent with early-June climatology featuring an average high near 91°F. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where June 1 highs have frequently surpassed 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, with the all-time record at 99°F. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 92°F or higher reflects verified observational trends and minimal model spread. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome include greater afternoon cloud cover or enhanced boundary-layer mixing, though current conditions made such shifts improbable ahead of final measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on June 1?
92°F or higher 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,762 交易量
$36,762 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
100%
92°F or higher 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,762 交易量
$36,762 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance projected Austin reaching the low to mid-90s on June 1 under southerly flow and building upper-level ridging, consistent with early-June climatology featuring an average high near 91°F. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where June 1 highs have frequently surpassed 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, with the all-time record at 99°F. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 92°F or higher reflects verified observational trends and minimal model spread. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome include greater afternoon cloud cover or enhanced boundary-layer mixing, though current conditions made such shifts improbable ahead of final measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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