Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance projects a daytime high in the low to mid-70s°F for Chicago on June 2 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast flow, driving the overwhelming market-implied odds above 98% for 70°F or higher. This aligns closely with early-June climatological normals near 76°F and recent runs showing no significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would suppress readings. Forecasters note typical model uncertainty ranges in temperature predictions, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and any late-day changes in steering flow, though current consensus leaves little room for a sub-70°F outcome absent an unexpected shift in guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥6月2日最高气温?
70°F或更高 98.7%
68-69°F 1.4%
66-67°F <1%
51°F或更低 <1%
$11,671 交易量
$11,671 交易量
51°F或更低
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F或更高
99%
70°F或更高 98.7%
68-69°F 1.4%
66-67°F <1%
51°F或更低 <1%
$11,671 交易量
$11,671 交易量
51°F或更低
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F或更高
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance projects a daytime high in the low to mid-70s°F for Chicago on June 2 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast flow, driving the overwhelming market-implied odds above 98% for 70°F or higher. This aligns closely with early-June climatological normals near 76°F and recent runs showing no significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would suppress readings. Forecasters note typical model uncertainty ranges in temperature predictions, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and any late-day changes in steering flow, though current consensus leaves little room for a sub-70°F outcome absent an unexpected shift in guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题