Latest National Weather Service guidance and extended-range models from NOAA project a daytime high near 80–81°F in Denver on June 3, consistent with climatological norms of 79°F and recent warm, dry conditions across the Front Range. This positions the 78°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market favorite at 95.3% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on minimal downside risk from typical early-summer patterns. A strong cold front, increased cloud cover, or widespread convective cooling could still pull readings into the mid-70s, though current steering flow and ensemble agreement make such reversals unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on June 3?
78°F or higher 95.3%
76-77°F 2.5%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$29,016 交易量
$29,016 交易量
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78°F or higher
95%
78°F or higher 95.3%
76-77°F 2.5%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$29,016 交易量
$29,016 交易量
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78°F or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and extended-range models from NOAA project a daytime high near 80–81°F in Denver on June 3, consistent with climatological norms of 79°F and recent warm, dry conditions across the Front Range. This positions the 78°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market favorite at 95.3% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on minimal downside risk from typical early-summer patterns. A strong cold front, increased cloud cover, or widespread convective cooling could still pull readings into the mid-70s, though current steering flow and ensemble agreement make such reversals unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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