Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 27–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 2, with clear skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation supporting modest daytime heating. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs rise from 26°C to 29°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging and lengthening daylight. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51% implied probability on 29°C and 34% on 30°C, incorporates minor upside potential from localized urban heat-island effects or slight model underestimation of insolation. Updated runs later today and any observed afternoon readings will refine resolution against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 2?
29°C 51%
30°C 34%
28°C 14%
31°C 3.4%
$19,878 交易量
$19,878 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
51%
30°C
34%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 51%
30°C 34%
28°C 14%
31°C 3.4%
$19,878 交易量
$19,878 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
51%
30°C
34%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 27–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 2, with clear skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation supporting modest daytime heating. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs rise from 26°C to 29°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging and lengthening daylight. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51% implied probability on 29°C and 34% on 30°C, incorporates minor upside potential from localized urban heat-island effects or slight model underestimation of insolation. Updated runs later today and any observed afternoon readings will refine resolution against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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