Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate thundery showers and a maximum of 28–29 °C in Wuhan on June 3, driving the 57.5% market-implied probability for 29 °C or below. Early-June climatology features daily highs typically between 26–30 °C before the peak summer regime, and recent model runs have converged on modest temperatures amid increased cloud cover and rainfall. Minor upward revisions in any ensemble member could shift odds toward 30–31 °C bins, but forecasters expect stable steering patterns and limited insolation to keep the peak near or below 29 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 3?
29°C or below 57%
30°C 24.4%
31°C 12.1%
32°C 4.9%
29°C or below
57%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
29°C or below 57%
30°C 24.4%
31°C 12.1%
32°C 4.9%
29°C or below
57%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate thundery showers and a maximum of 28–29 °C in Wuhan on June 3, driving the 57.5% market-implied probability for 29 °C or below. Early-June climatology features daily highs typically between 26–30 °C before the peak summer regime, and recent model runs have converged on modest temperatures amid increased cloud cover and rainfall. Minor upward revisions in any ensemble member could shift odds toward 30–31 °C bins, but forecasters expect stable steering patterns and limited insolation to keep the peak near or below 29 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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