Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates five magnitude 7.0–7.9 earthquakes worldwide through late May 2026, including events in Tonga, Indonesia, Japan, Vanuatu, and Malaysia, aligning closely with the long-term average of 15–16 such quakes annually. Activity remains driven by plate tectonics at subduction zones and transform faults, with no unusual clustering or aftershock sequences noted in recent USGS reports. Traders assessing near-term resolution should watch for updates from the USGS earthquake catalog and any new M7+ detections, as timing follows Poisson-like randomness without reliable short-term forecasts. Historical data confirm wide year-to-year variation but stable overall rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于又发生了7.0级或以上的地震…… ?
$55,360 交易量
June 30
69%
$55,360 交易量
June 30
69%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间: May 26, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates five magnitude 7.0–7.9 earthquakes worldwide through late May 2026, including events in Tonga, Indonesia, Japan, Vanuatu, and Malaysia, aligning closely with the long-term average of 15–16 such quakes annually. Activity remains driven by plate tectonics at subduction zones and transform faults, with no unusual clustering or aftershock sequences noted in recent USGS reports. Traders assessing near-term resolution should watch for updates from the USGS earthquake catalog and any new M7+ detections, as timing follows Poisson-like randomness without reliable short-term forecasts. Historical data confirm wide year-to-year variation but stable overall rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题