Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs place New York City’s overnight low on June 4 near 60–64 °F under a stable high-pressure regime with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s, consistent with early-June climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 60–63 °F brackets because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or the precise timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated this far ahead of the event, with new model updates expected daily through resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月4日纽约市最低气温？
6月4日纽约市最低气温？
64-65°F 33%
60-61°F 28%
62-63°F 28%
68-69°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
华氏74度或更高
<1%
64-65°F 33%
60-61°F 28%
62-63°F 28%
68-69°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-04
55°F或以下
$78 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$5 交易量
5%
58-59°F
$69 交易量
9%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
28%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
28%
64-65°F
$5 交易量
18%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$24 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$630 交易量
1%
华氏74度或更高
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs place New York City’s overnight low on June 4 near 60–64 °F under a stable high-pressure regime with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s, consistent with early-June climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 60–63 °F brackets because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or the precise timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated this far ahead of the event, with new model updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$725结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs place New York City’s overnight low on June 4 near 60–64 °F under a stable high-pressure regime with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s, consistent with early-June climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 60–63 °F brackets because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or the precise timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated this far ahead of the event, with new model updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$725结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs place New York City’s overnight low on June 4 near 60–64 °F under a stable high-pressure regime with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s, consistent with early-June climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 60–63 °F brackets because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or the precise timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated this far ahead of the event, with new model updates expected daily through resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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