Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's June 4 high temperature will likely fall between 23–26°C, driven by transitional early-summer patterns with moderating sea breezes and variable cloud cover before the peak rainy season intensifies. Ensemble runs show close clustering around 24–25°C due to uncertainty in upper-level ridging and frontal passage timing, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 25°C provide context, yet short-term model spread and potential for increased humidity or precipitation keep probabilities tightly distributed across the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
24°C 29%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
26°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
27%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
7%
24°C 29%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
26°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
27%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's June 4 high temperature will likely fall between 23–26°C, driven by transitional early-summer patterns with moderating sea breezes and variable cloud cover before the peak rainy season intensifies. Ensemble runs show close clustering around 24–25°C due to uncertainty in upper-level ridging and frontal passage timing, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 25°C provide context, yet short-term model spread and potential for increased humidity or precipitation keep probabilities tightly distributed across the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题